• Contact us
  • About us
  • Digital edition
  • Online archive
Friday, July 4, 2025
Cumberland and Westmorland Herald
  • News
    Man fined £100 for using cashpoint in car park

    Man fined £100 for using cashpoint in car park

    Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

    Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

    Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

    Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

    Global engineering firm Babcock supports Eden charity

    Global engineering firm Babcock supports Eden charity

    Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

    Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

    £8,000 for two new nature reserve projects

    £8,000 for two new nature reserve projects

    Fun day in Penrith to celebrate community spirit

    Fun day in Penrith to celebrate community spirit

    Arrests after shoplifting incidents in Penrith

    Arrests after shoplifting incidents in Penrith

    Anti-social residents move out after threatened with police order

    Anti-social residents move out after threatened with police order

  • Sport
    Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

    Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

    £100,000 target for new changing rooms extension

    £100,000 target for new changing rooms extension

    Medal success for Upper Eden tug-of-war team

    Medal success for Upper Eden tug-of-war team

    Eden man competes in Hyrox World Games

    Eden man competes in Hyrox World Games

    Double national triumph for Stuart Robinson

    Double national triumph for Stuart Robinson

    Patterdale’s Eden Eagles make history

    Patterdale’s Eden Eagles make history

    Penrith teen crowned British vault champion

    Penrith teen crowned British vault champion

    Penrith gymnasts represent North of England in finals

    Penrith gymnasts represent North of England in finals

    New boss revealed for Penrith AFC

    New boss revealed for Penrith AFC

  • Obituaries
  • Nostalgia
  • Online archive
  • Buy Photos
  • Buy your paper
  • North Lakes Living
No Result
View All Result
Cumberland and Westmorland Herald
  • News
    Man fined £100 for using cashpoint in car park

    Man fined £100 for using cashpoint in car park

    Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

    Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

    Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

    Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

    Global engineering firm Babcock supports Eden charity

    Global engineering firm Babcock supports Eden charity

    Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

    Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

    £8,000 for two new nature reserve projects

    £8,000 for two new nature reserve projects

    Fun day in Penrith to celebrate community spirit

    Fun day in Penrith to celebrate community spirit

    Arrests after shoplifting incidents in Penrith

    Arrests after shoplifting incidents in Penrith

    Anti-social residents move out after threatened with police order

    Anti-social residents move out after threatened with police order

  • Sport
    Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

    Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

    £100,000 target for new changing rooms extension

    £100,000 target for new changing rooms extension

    Medal success for Upper Eden tug-of-war team

    Medal success for Upper Eden tug-of-war team

    Eden man competes in Hyrox World Games

    Eden man competes in Hyrox World Games

    Double national triumph for Stuart Robinson

    Double national triumph for Stuart Robinson

    Patterdale’s Eden Eagles make history

    Patterdale’s Eden Eagles make history

    Penrith teen crowned British vault champion

    Penrith teen crowned British vault champion

    Penrith gymnasts represent North of England in finals

    Penrith gymnasts represent North of England in finals

    New boss revealed for Penrith AFC

    New boss revealed for Penrith AFC

  • Obituaries
  • Nostalgia
  • Online archive
  • Buy Photos
  • Buy your paper
  • North Lakes Living
No Result
View All Result
Cumberland and Westmorland Herald
No Result
View All Result
Home Ross Brewster

Why are weather forecasts so often wrong?

by Rob Sutton
20 September 2024
in Ross Brewster
A A
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Nobbut Laiking, by Ross Brewster

So I’m not the only one who doesn’t trust those pesky weather forecasts.

Scientists at the University of Reading’s meteorology department have been carrying out some research and they agree.

When you are an outdoor sports fan the weather is everything really. But I find forecasts increasingly unreliable.

A few weeks ago I planned a trip to watch some cricket. I was deterred by the BBC forecast on my laptop which suggested three days of rain. In fact, apart from a damp first morning, they hardly lost a minute’s play — and I was stuck at home wishing I had ignored the gloomy prognostications.

The Reading academics must also be cricket fans. They say the BBC offers one of the less reliable weather apps, although to be fair a string of other forecasters failed to measure up to their checks in a period from August to early September.

Forecasts, they concluded, were “often wrong” and tended to be on the pessimistic side.

Gill Haigh, managing director of Cumbria Tourism, told the Sunday Times earlier this year that weather symbols indicating a more pessimistic picture than the reality were impacting on local businesses.

Could it be that we are suffering from Michael Fish Syndrome? There was that infamous 1987 hurricane down south that caused vast amounts of damage, which the BBC predicted would be little more than a strong wind. As a consequence forecasters tend to err on the side of caution, not wishing to be caught out again so comprehensively by describing a Noah’s Ark level downpour as light drizzle.

Next day forecasts are usually quite accurate, but it’s the week on Wednesday types among us that need more reliable forecasts. Otherwise we may as well stand on top of Blencathra and hold a wet finger to the breeze and have a guess.

Electric cars proving a turn off

Most of the major motor manufacturers are rolling back production of electric cars.

Evidence, I suggest, that this particular element in the race to net zero is set to become one of the follies of the age.

While I know people who have bought into EV and love their silent motors, I speak to many more who express doubt that they are a good investment, or a development that will last the course.

Fiat, for example, has paused production of its electric city car the 500 due to a slump in demand.

Volvo has abandoned its ambitions of becoming an electric-only auto maker by 2030.

Several more companies, notably Toyota, have slashed production blaming a lack of orders. They say older drivers are particularly reticent to switch on to battery-powered vehicles and EVs are not the answer while a billion people worldwide don’t even have electricity.

Reports only last week said ministers are planning to back away from a total ban on the sale of petrol and diesel driven cars by allowing hybrids to remain on the market until 2035.

Labour, in its manifesto, had big plans for the demise of new petrol driven cars. They have not convinced millions of would-be purchasers who have concerns about range, re-sale values and shortage of charging points. And what do we do with the old batteries?

There are just too many doubts to expect the average motorist to go plunging in on new electric-only vehicles.

Greenpeace describes hybrids— they use petrol and diesel engines in conjunction with a battery — as the motor industry’s “wolf in sheep’s clothing”.

But for most people, especially those living in rural areas, getting around is costly enough these days without the pure ideologies of environmental lobbyists.

Electric may have looked like the future. But as time goes by it raises more questions and doubts than it solves.

Out of step with watching Strictly

Do you watch Strictly? It’s not my scene. I can’t dance for the life of me. The archetypal two left feet. Reminds me of the old song, I Won’t Dance, Don’t Ask Me.

I sometimes wish I had been able to dance. It was a useful social asset at one time. I had a pal who was a wonderful dancer. He was no good looker, but could he pull the birds! He would go to dances and women were queuing to get on his list.

Those were the days of Victor Silvester and his orchestra. He was still on the go when TV came in and starred on This Is Your Life with Eamonn Andrews once. It wasn’t super competitive like Strictly. It was all very gentlemanly and ladylike back then.

These days mention Peggy Spencer and no-one under 70 would know what you meant. She and her partner did lots of ballroom dancing for television.

Strictly Come Dancing has got itself into trouble with all these temperamental men and easily upset women partners.

I suspect some of them resent being asked to train hard for the event. I know Helen Skelton said she put long hours training before she went on the show.

It’s got little to do with the foxtrot and waltz and has become more showmanship with all those acrobatic lifts. I know for a fact I’d be no good. Me and my dodgy back.

Tags: premium

Related Posts

Haven’t police got anything better to do than pursuing ‘non-crime’ hate incidents?
Ross Brewster

Haven’t police got anything better to do than pursuing ‘non-crime’ hate incidents?

22 November 2024
Can someone pull some rabbits out of the hat to lighten the mood?
Ross Brewster

Can someone pull some rabbits out of the hat to lighten the mood?

8 November 2024
Fining parents isn’t the answer to school truancy problem
Ross Brewster

Fining parents isn’t the answer to school truancy problem

1 November 2024
Have we become a nation of wimps?
Ross Brewster

Have we become a nation of wimps?

25 October 2024
A bald man has sued for sexual harassment – I say keep your wig on, mate
Ross Brewster

A bald man has sued for sexual harassment – I say keep your wig on, mate

18 October 2024
We need to relearn the lost art of making small talk
Ross Brewster

We need to relearn the lost art of making small talk

4 October 2024
No Result
View All Result

Stay connected

Facebook Twitter Instagram

Most popular

Illegal vapes seized from Eden shop

Illegal vapes seized from Eden shop

3 July 2025
Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

Sheep breeder’s successful debut at Royal Highland Show

4 July 2025
Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

Penrith skipper Nicky Burns calls on team to keep winning

4 July 2025
Partnership vs company: Choosing the right structure for your farming business

Partnership vs company: Choosing the right structure for your farming business

29 June 2025
Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

Penrith Lions mark 50 years of serving community

4 July 2025
Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

Honour for man who devoted his life to Greystoke

4 July 2025
Cumberland and Westmorland Herald Logo

33 Middlegate
Penrith
Cumbria
CA11 7SY

Phone: 01768 862313
Email: news@cwherald.com

Registered in England as Barrnon Media Limited. No: 12475190
VAT registration number: 343486488

Explore

  • News
  • Sport
  • Farming
  • Property
  • Obituaries
  • Nostalgia
  • Your view

Useful links

  • Contact us
  • Photosales
  • Online archive
  • Buy your paper
  • Digital edition
  • North Lakes Living
  • Advertise
  • About us

Follow us on

© Barrnon Media Limited 2025

Terms & Conditions / Privacy Policy / Cookie Policy

This website and its associated newspaper are members of the Independent Press Standards Organisation
Review Your Cart
0
Discount
Add Coupon Code
Subtotal
Total Installment Payments
Bundle Discount
Checkout

 
0
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • News
  • Sport
  • Obituaries
  • Nostalgia
  • Online archive
  • more
    • North Lakes Living
    • Buy Photos
    • Buy your paper
    • About us
    • Contact us

© 2020 Cumberland & Westmorland Herald